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Spain20 years artificial intelligence will bring any surprises?
Release date:2016-01-26
It works in the field of artificial intelligence "Artificial Intelligence: A Modern Approach" (ArtificialIntelligence: aModernApproach) book, StuartRussell and PeterNorvig two authors in the last chapter on the future of artificial intelligence (AI) made some prospects. In many universities, this book is present as an important field of AI textbooks. So, to review their prediction made 20 years ago, may be able to help us for the next 20 years, the development of artificial intelligence to make better predictions.
In this book, they are beginning to expand from the 1995 forecast. Well, this reasonable? Twenty years ago wrote about the future development of artificial intelligence article in today will still be able to after two decades of development is worth learning it? Does that mean that we do not have in this past two decades made any progress?
Of course, today's artificial intelligence already in the two decades between gained rapid development. Today's society, the energy and enthusiasm into the development of artificial intelligence have more people than ever before. Maybe the two of them forecast is not mature enough, but now more than ever need their predictions.
And this can not help but wonder, really made now forecast to 2035 can be achieved after.
Even by 2007, the famous writer DavidOrrell also did not in "all future" (TheFutureofEverything) referred to anything related to the AI. After all, we want to predict the future of technology is too difficult.
But anyway, we have to start from the beginning forecast, which will make it easier for technology development to make direct or gradual improvements, allowing us to first glimpse of the future.
20 years artificial intelligence will bring any surprises?
Forecast 1-- voice, sound, images and video recognition capabilities will be enhanced
Over the next few years, artificial intelligence for voice, sound, image and video recognition capabilities will be further improved and enhanced, and thus significantly improve the way we interact with devices. Cheap ubiquitous sensors and cameras will be able to handle more data streams in real time. With the performance standards of low-cost processor and memory, the device will be able to make more cost-effective in the AI deal effectively on the basis of data and ultimately self-learning outcomes stored in a local store. The AI system will be more widely used in industrial automation systems, such as the field of plant operation systems, security systems, agriculture and transportation systems.
2-- prediction will be more intelligent personal assistant
Personal Assistant will be able to provide more personalized needs for us to be able to fully take into account relevant contextual factors referred to user requirements, making it possible for people to provide better service. As for the "Voice Assistant can completely replace the traditional GUI interface" on this issue, I am afraid that is still a mystery. After the change of language is very complicated, we do not literally go elegant syntax diction these details in daily communication, and perhaps be able to understand the context between people, but for the purposes of personal assistants may not be so simple . Moreover, even the GUI interface, in the future it will probably seamless access to visual interfaces, increase the session interactivity.
Improve conversation system, in addition to solving the current status of AI personal assistant "fool imperative", but also be able to further promote the AI robot into family life among the people.
3-- predict more and more systems will be automated
In fact, the range of application fields of automation systems than most people think is much greater. Recall that do not believe so, when you call the customer service hotline is live when connected to a phone or voice station connected Moreover, the autopilot system is already applied in the plane;?? Unmanned vehicles and drones have already appeared . In the future, the autopilot system will make extensive use of the transport traffic system.
At the same time, we also began to worry about too much from ** to the machine will bring us greater risks, so at least to limit and control the degree that people would automate 10 years. Therefore, the future is able to fully realize driverless transportation doubt. People must be able to completely control automation technology, you can really let them have since **.
Prediction 4 - AI will be more and more enterprises are using
AI current state of development in the field just like the computer industry 30 years ago. At the time of the rapid rise of the computer has brought countless data processing business, more and more companies have begun to establish computer department. And now, these sectors have gone, computers have become a part of our work, not to mention its role in our daily lives in the. AI The same is true, and as such will be gradually applied computer technology in the enterprise among not just in the data structure of the application process, also will serve as extracted from the data generated in the elements and conclusions of the work.
Meanwhile, AI will assume more decision-making - such as fleet management, inventory management, candidate resume screening. AI will replace human decision making in the future - it's like millions of years ago, humans use the same tool instead of hand labor.
5-- forecast of AI research and development within the industry will change many development process
For the core of AI research, every step will provide us with the ability to solve new problems, and then accelerate research in almost every field of science.
CloudPharmaceuticals and Berg through AI technology has made new progress in drug development. The AI's contribution is far more than that - predict disease, looking for better disease treatments, research and development of cleaner, more efficient chemical engineering systems, the establishment of a more efficient fleet management model to improve the efficiency of ticket analysis, looking for the best investment programs, looking for the best aspects of home energy use programs, all because of AI technology to get a breakthrough.
Consumers will in the next five years, to see more and similar artificial intelligence assistant Siri. AI also will provide more and more services more convenient for us. At least for a longer period of time, AI will play an important role in almost all areas of human activity.
Prediction 6-- self-learning system will drive the future development of education and entertainment
Self-learning system will be further enhanced. In the future, regardless of whether someone is capable of autonomous learning in supervision, AI, AI and therefore can be applied among the more specialized fields. AI will also be capable role of scholars or analysts, and this type of AI systems can be applied to the field of education - just like a real teacher is teaching the students as homework.
Such technology also can be used to shape the character, the movie scenario depicted or interactive virtual reality game.
7-- forecast assumptions deductive system development will enhance people's quality of life and length of life
People have already begun to use artificial intelligence to solve a particular medical problems. From a long-term perspective, we will certainly succeed in the future development of the "super personality" of "hypothetical deductive system", the system will be able to master the human genome and other academic knowledge, and we wearable device or other biological monitoring Instrument data obtained were analyzed, which is equivalent to a doctor provides a high accuracy of analysis lens, such as the magic crystal ball to provide valuable environmental analysis, provide solutions contribute to good health.
Artificial intelligence will also be used to decipher the way the human brain activity, improve communication skills of people with disabilities or to provide new solutions for their physical condition.
Prediction 8-- smart Internet would be a breakthrough
There are many technical staff to explore how to build a smart Internet in the future. In fact, we have already taken the first step to intelligent network systems - for example, Siri. Siri in fact is not an isolated application - each user when Siri, it will send the request to the centralized system into an AI core analysis and processing, only after the command people to express data information in the form of return to Siri, Siri again to provide users with appropriate services. With AI technology development, more and more artificial intelligence assistant emerge, if they can cooperate with each other, it will greatly improve service efficiency.
AI will also bring convenience designers and programmers - under automatic operation mode, AI can be done automatically in accordance with their respective requirements for the design and programming work. For this AI-oriented interaction design or project, people's satisfaction will be higher - because the AI system can automatically learn the interaction with other users of the program, and to be optimized at the design level, to enhance the user experience.
Prediction 9-- breakthrough in distributed computing will be able to realize the full potential of AI
In the future, a single CPU will be unable to cope with the needs of artificial intelligence for the processing speed. Currently, the processing requirements AI has also been assigned to one or more data centers of multiple computers - through the parallel algorithm, AI can call hundreds of computers within the graphics processing unit (GPU) for processing. However, such large-scale computing power has just started, there is still need for more technological breakthroughs, can really play the full potential of this calculation matrix. It is also more efficient new calculation methods such as quantum computing research.
Prediction 10-- AI will also be used on some of the bad things
Technology media has been in frequent discussions on the topic of killer robots, AI for whether military purposes would lead to human extinction is indeed a problem of concern to the public. Like each of the previous human civilization as a major technological advancement, AI technology is also certain to be used in some bad uses. The artificial intelligence has indeed dangerous, but so far, AI to advance the development of human civilization is still positive